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Wallowa Avalanche Center

Professional Observation

Basic Information

Observation Details

Observation Date:
January 5, 2021
Submitted:
January 6, 2021
Observer:
WAC - Caleb Merrill
Zone or Region:
Northern Wallowas
Location:
Wing Ridge NE and SW aspects

Signs of Unstable Snow

Recent Avalanches? 
Yes
Cracking? 
Isolated
Collapsing? 
Isolated
Recent avalanches, Ongoing wind loading, collapsing, and cracking.

Snow Stability

Stability Rating: 
Fair
Confidence in Rating: 
Moderate
Stability Trend: 
Worsening

Bottom Line

Ongoing winds out of the south and west yesterday were building shallow and reactive windslabs along leeward ridgelines as well as midslope terrain features. We also noticed windslabs that formed during the night of 1/4/21 were buried by a couple inches of new snow. A generally weak snowpack structure still exists on all aspects and elevations where we looked. In places where the snowpack is a bit deeper, it seemed to be harder to impact our persistent weak layers (Solstice Rain Crust and Old November Facets). However, if a smaller avalanche (say a windslab or storm slab)were triggered, it is quite possible it could step down into these weaker layers producing a potentially devastating avalanche.

Media

Skin track getting filled back in by wind loading
These snow grains have virtually no cohesion, and provide the foundation (or lack thereof) upon which our snowpack is built.

Advanced Information

Weather Summary

Cloud Cover:
Mostly Cloudy
Temperature:
22
Wind:
Moderate , S

Anywhere from 8-12" of new snow were observed in protected areas. The storm on the night of 1/4/21 laid in wind slabs up to 6" deep in upper elevation terrain before finishing in a calmer manner. Moderate South and West winds were blowing much of the new snow around in exposed terrain. The fresh morning skin track that I followed up Phat Ridge was filled in in what I would guess was a couple of hours. See photo. Ongoing wind loading was creating shallow wind slabs at ridgelines.

Avalanche Observations

 #  Date Location Size Type Bed Sfc Depth Trigger Comments Photo
1 Past 24 hours Dollar Ridge
NE 8500
D3 SS Hard to tell many details, but seemed to probably be 200 meters wide
1 Past 24 hours Ridgeline separating Middle Fork and South Fork of the Imnaha River
E 8000
D3 SS Hard to tell details, but large avalanche on NE aspect

Snowpack Observations

We are dealing with a complex snowpack in the Northern Wallowas. It might be a bit before we are out of the woods on this one.... Average height of snow around 8,000 feet in the wing ridge area was 48"/120 cm. There was a nice layer of 2 inches of light density snow that fell straight down from the sky at the end of the storm with little wind affect. This snow was covering up a more dense, wind affected layer of snow. In many areas the new snow felt inverted or upside down as your ski would seemingly be supported by this stiffer wind slab, only to break through to lighter density snow below. When digging deeper in the snowpack, on both a NW and SW aspect, a 1F hard slab was present above the Solstice Rain Crust and associated crust jarble. The SRC found to be a little over 2 feet deep (70cm). Below the crust, very weak faceted snow (F-4F hard) existed. We found consistent snowpack test results showing clean easy shears in both the new snow, and in the deeper persistent weak layers. See Photos below and recent video. Although we did not get propagation on the ECT, I certainly wouldn't use that data for decision making to step into more aggressive terrain. Perhaps it indicates that the 1F hard slab is making it harder to impact the SRC and associated weak snow. I always use snowpack tests as data points, not as decision making tools (unless it's helping me decide to turn around!!).

Avalanche Problems

Problem Location Distribution Sensitivity Size Comments
Wind Slab
Isolated
Specific
Widespread
Unreactive
Stubborn
Reactive
Touchy
D1
D1.5
D2
D2.5
D3
D3.5
D4
D4.5
D5
Layer Depth/Date: up to 12" from 1/4/21
Persistent Slab
Isolated
Specific
Widespread
Unreactive
Stubborn
Reactive
Touchy
D1
D1.5
D2
D2.5
D3
D3.5
D4
D4.5
D5
Layer Depth/Date: up to 3 feet deep, below SRC into old november facets

Given the structure of the snowpack in this area, there is definitely potential for a smaller avalanche such as a windslab to produce enough weight to "step down" into the older snow and create a much deeper, more destructive avalanche.

Terrain Use

We did not step out onto any terrain that was steeper than 35 degrees. We utilized subridges and high terrain to manage our uncertainty within the snowpack. We avoided steep leeward and windloaded terrain. If we got pushed into smaller terrain features (convex rollovers), we slowed down our travel and managed them one at a time with eyes on.

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